What do we know about changes in sentencing patterns, specifically the number of people sentenced to prison, sentence lengths, and the types of sentences given for various crimes over time? How have sentencing patterns changed over time by age, sex, and offence history? What do these trends tell us about the relationship between offender characteristics and sentencing outcomes in Scotland?

Background

The Scottish Government’s Vision for Justice aims to support rehabilitation, use custody only where there is no alternative and work to reduce reoffending and revictimisation. It also aims to establish an effective, modern person-centred and trauma-informed approach to justice in which everyone can have trust, including as victims, those accused of crimes and as individuals in civil disputes. As such, Justice Analytical Services have identified the theme of ‘Sentencing Prisons & Rehabilitation’ as a research priority. Robust research on offenders, their rehabilitation and sentencing patterns will inform work towards these aims.

Next steps

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This question was published as part of the set of ARIs in this document:

Justice analytical services areas research interest

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Related UKRI funded projects


  • Lives Sentenced: The Punishment Careers of Persistent Offenders

    There has been little research examining how those who are punished by the criminal justice system experience and give meaning to their sentences. Research that does exist has largely focused on one single sentence. Howe...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Glasgow

    Why might this be relevant?

    This project specifically focuses on the sentencing patterns of persistent offenders in Scotland, providing in-depth insights into how offenders interpret their sentences over time.

  • Understanding Offender Rehabilitation and Supervision

    Offender rehabilitation in England and Wales is in crisis. 57% of adults released from short custodial sentences re-offend within just 1 year of their release. Lack of rehabilitation is a key driver of record-high prison...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Strathclyde

    Why might this be relevant?

    Partially relevant as it focuses on offender rehabilitation in England and Wales, not specifically on changes in sentencing patterns in Scotland.

  • ADR UK Data First Evaluation Fellowship

    Until recently, the large amounts of administrative data routinely collected about offenders as they are moved through the Criminal Justice System have been inaccessible to research. Instead, our understanding has largel...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Surrey

    Why might this be relevant?

    While this project focuses on analyzing linked data about offenders in the Criminal Justice System, it does not directly address the specific sentencing patterns and changes in Scotland as requested.

  • Regulating Justice: The Dynamics of Compliance and Breach in Criminal Justice Social Work in Scotland

    Not only does Scotland imprison more people than most European countries, but our prison numbers are also rising despite a fall in crime levels. The Scottish Government is attempting to reduce imprisonment through increa...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Strathclyde

    Why might this be relevant?

    This project investigates compliance and breach in criminal justice social work in Scotland, which is related to sentencing patterns but does not directly address the changes in sentencing patterns over time.

  • Make Time Count Today - Reducing criminal reoffending on probation through data analytics, predictive behaviour recognition and optimised interventions

    **Problem Addressed** Crime costs UK economy over £58bn pa, with 1.2mn people convicted annually. Of these, 87% have previous convictions, 60% of released prisoners and 30% on probation reoffend within 12 months. ...

    Funded by: Innovate UK

    Lead research organisation: MAKE TIME COUNT TODAY LTD

  • Long-term imprisonment from young adulthood: a longitudinal follow-up study

    Due to a hardening of penal sensibilities and more stringent sentencing practices (mainly as a result of the 2003 Criminal Justice Act), a growing number of prisoners are serving extremely long sentences from an early ag...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Cambridge

  • Evaluating the long-term impact of Release on Temporary License (ROTL)

    Release on temporary licence (ROTL) provides eligible people currently in prison the opportunity to prepare for resettlement in the community through day or overnight release. The intended impact of ROTL is to reduce reo...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: Queen Mary University of London

  • Plymouth Community Justice Court: A Case Study of Problem Solving Interventions, Reducing Re-offending and Public Confidence

    The criminal justice system has over many years introduced a range of initiatives designed to reduce crime and support offenders in their efforts to desist from crime. One recent initiative, originating in the U.S.A and ...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Plymouth

  • Optimising the risk assessment of violent recidivism: a retrospective cohort investigation

    In England and Wales, it is currently estimated that one in four individuals convicted of a serious violent offence will reoffend within two-years. In the Criminal Justice System (CJS), risk assessment tools are used ide...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: King's College London

    Why might this be relevant?

    Partially answers the question by focusing on risk assessment and recidivism, but does not directly address changes in sentencing patterns over time in Scotland.

  • WOMEN OFFENDERS AND PROBLEM-SOLVING JUSTICE. A KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE PROJECT WITH MAGISTRATES, COURT PROBATION STAFF AND COURT ADVISORS

    This project will apply the findings of an evaluation of Women's Community Services by Dr Polly Radcliffe and Gillian Hunter at ICPR. The aim of the project is to use our research findings to improve the sentencing of wo...

    Funded by: ESRC

    Lead research organisation: University of Kent