What needs to be true of demand modelling for the estimates produced to capture long run changes in demand for road schemes that may change the spatial distribution of economic activity? To what extent do estimates from conventional user benefits approximate the total welfare impacts of transport schemes on users, considering the impacts of changing land use?
Background
The grow and level up the economy strategic priority is at the heart of the government’s agenda to spread opportunity across the UK. Transport has a crucial role to play, whether it be through improving connectivity across the United Kingdom and growing the economy by enhancing the transport network, on time and on budget. DfT has a number of specific interests in this space, notably our infrastructure projects, Places for Growth and our apprenticeships and skills work.
Next steps
Get in touch with bridgetoresearch@dft.gov.uk
Source
This question was published as part of the set of ARIs in this document:
Related UKRI funded projects
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Transport investments and spatial economic performance
The research is seeking to understand the implications of transport investments for the spatial economy by identifying effects on workers and firms (e.g. productivity, employment, wages). The research will provide the fi...
Funded by: ESRC
Why might this be relevant?
The project aims to understand the implications of transport investments for the spatial economy and assess the implications of the findings for scheme appraisal, which directly relates to the question.
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Simulating the Resilience of Transport Infrastructures Using QUANT
We have developed a model that simulates the pattern of land use and transportation for Great Britain which is configured in terms of thousands of small zones and three modes of transport which bind together employment a...
Funded by: STFC
Why might this be relevant?
The project involves simulating the pattern of land use and transportation to capture long run changes in demand for road schemes and considers the impacts of changing land use.
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Visiting Fellowship for Juan de Dios Ortuzar
Travel demand models are used to estimate the likely effect of changes in the need in the population for travel and in the provision in networks for travel on the amount and nature of travel that is undertaken, and in pa...
Funded by: EPSRC
Why might this be relevant?
The project discusses the use of panel data in transport planning and the advantages of panels in evaluating changes in the system, which partially relates to the question.